Syria’s Military Capability

By Adnan Khan The security of a nation is essential for the survival of any country. A strategic doctrine, establishing ground forces, an air force, a navy, developing an industrial base to equip the officer corps and deploying them in various theaters are some of the basic duties of a nation’s military. Syria, like much of the Muslim countries, has a military that has for long propped up the al-Assad regimes, which is playing a key role...
9th November 20125 min

The security of a nation is essential for the survival of any country. A strategic doctrine, establishing ground forces, an air force, a navy, developing an industrial base to equip the officer corps and deploying them in various theaters are some of the basic duties of a nation’s military. Syria, like much of the Muslim countries, has a military that has for long propped up the al-Assad regimes, which is playing a key role in stemming the current uprising. Understanding the capabilities of the Syrian regime is essential for any political observer who seeks to have a clear picture of reality on the ground.
Syria has very little indigenous military industry to speak of, and therefore the country has always been reliant on foreign procurement of military weapons and systems. Despite this, for a long time it has been assembling SCUD missiles in cooperation with North Korea and Iran.[1] Syria’s military industry also manufactures rockets, notably the 220 mm and 302 mm rockets, which are of Syrian design and have been absorbed by the Syrian forces and even passed on to Hizbullah. The special security relations Syria has with Iran has also aided arms transfers into Syria. Both countries maintain close security relations and have jointly developed weapon systems, such as ballistic missiles.
The Syrian military consists of air, ground, and naval forces. Active personnel prior to the uprising were estimated as 295,000, with an additional 314,000 reserves.[2] The majority of the Syrian military personnel are Sunni, but Alawites make up most of the military leadership. The military’s most elite divisions are the Republican Guard and the 4th Mechanized Division, which are commanded by Bashar’s brother Maher and are exclusively Alawite. Only the air force consists mostly of Sunni’s.[3] Syria’s ground forces are organized into three corps with a total of seven armoured divisions, three mechanized divisions, one Republican Guard division, and three Special Forces brigades organized into a nominal division. It has four independent infantry brigades, one border guard brigade, and two independent artillery brigades. There is an independent tank regiment, and 10 Special Forces regiments.[2]
Prior to the revolution, the army’s equipment included 4,700 tanks and 4,500 armoured personnel carriers. About 2,000 of the tanks are 1960s-vintage T-55s, another 1,000 only slightly newer T-62s. Another 1,700 are T-72s, from the 1970s and 1980s,[2] but many of those are embedded in static defensive positions, and none have received much in the way of spare parts or maintenance since the Soviet Union collapsed. These tanks would stand very little chance in the face of modern tanks. Syrian armoured exercises are slow moving and have poor combined arms content and there are almost no joint warfare trainings. 

The air force attack capability totals 10 squadrons, while its air defences forces total 16 squadrons. Their fighter jets consist of Su-24s and MiG-29 SMTs which are capable, however dated aircrafts. The bulk of its attack forces consist of Su-22s and MiG-23 BNs  aircrafts with limited capability to deliver precision or unguided weapons with accuracy. The air force has 611 combat planes, its combat planes are very old, consisting of Soviet Sukhois and MiGs and many of these are considered to be rusting. Syria’s use of attack helicopters is more effective, but equipment and tactics have not been modernized since the early 1980s. The Syrian Air Force has around 90 attack helicopters split between Mi-25s and SA-342Ls.
Syria possesses 850 surface-to-air missiles, with 130 surface-to-air missile (SAM) batteries, many of which are now obsolete and are supported by aging radars and an obsolete command and control and management system. Most of Syria’s missiles are Russian imports and reconfigured SCUD missiles, which are notoriously inaccurate.
The Soviet Union was the principal source of training and military hardware for the Syrian forces. The collapse of the Soviet Union plunged Syria into a crisis as it also meant the loss of their patron that had supplied them with arms and technical support. As a result, Syria stopped acquiring weapon systems and over the years its military capability decreased, as it suffered from severe shortages in parts its arms ultimately became obsolete. Anthony Cordesman, of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, highlighted that the Syrian army was not merely supplied but trained by the Soviets, and so inherited their highly centralized, top-down, take-no-initiative style of warfare.[4]
While the Syrian armed forces suffer from major arms shortages, discouragement and lack of certain capabilities, in the face of an invasion or attack they would be no pushover. While the West continues to present Syria’s formidable military as one of the reasons for not intervening, this contradicts the reality of Syrian military capabilities as there are major concerns with most of its equipment. Bashar al-Assad is still able to muster a sizeable force even in the face of major defections, which still failed to end the uprising after nearly two years.

[2] “The Military Balance 2011”, International Institute for Strategic Studies

0 comments

  • Ryan Pallister

    25th February 2013 at 11:41 pm

    People seem to think of an Army purely based on it’s paper figures, rather than the reality of what it is capable of.Whilst Syria may use what is considered outdated military hardware, it still posses military hardware which is of practical use. On paper and theoretically the Syrian Arab Army would not be able to stand up to outside intervention, the practicalities change that.
    Yes Syria uses what most think of as ‘Old Soviet junk’, yet it is not as outdated as most would claim. A T-72, especially what the Republican Guard use with reactive armor and a upgraded gun, is a still very capable and practical tank: Even if they are not the flashy Sci-Fi stuff of the Challenger 2, or Leopard 2.
    By regional standards the Syrian Arab Army is a very capable one. More so than Jordan, Iraq or Saudi-Arabia. Not a world power like Israel, yet still a huge regional player. It has the most capable air-defense and ballistic systems in the Middle East, with both the S-300 air-defense system, and the Iskander ballistic missile system. Not to mention it’s huge stocks of Chemical and Biological weapons.
    The war ravaging Syria is testament to the Syrian Army’s capabilities. Whilst it has not been able to put down the insurgency it has managed to hold all key and strategic cities, as well as maintaining the upper hand throughout the war.
    Syria is facing the largest insurgency in recent history, more than just a ‘Rag-tag group of Rebels’, it faces experienced Jihadi fighters from Chechnya, Iraq, Pakistan, Libya, Afghanistan and the Gulf States. For an Army which has not waged war since 1973 it is holding well.
    The Syrian Army is one of the best structured and designed in the region, but it does not face what it was intended to fight: A doctrine based around conventional warfare serves no place when fighting an insurgency, (unless you have the overwhelming firepower that the Russians had when crushing the Chechen insurgency), rather the Army has had to adapt and restructure it’s force to counter the guerrilla warfare it faces.
    The main problem hindering the Syrian Army is it’s armored to infantry division ratio. With 7 armored divisions it is well suited to fight a conventional army, (even with it’s outdated T-55’s and T-62’s), but armor counts for less when fighting an insurgency. And when you only have 4 infantry divisions you can not adequately support your armor.
    The Army does not have enough infantry divisions to to carry out their required tasks, such as clearing Rebel held districts or buildings, whilst holding their own territory. This is why you often see lone, or packs of tanks and BMP’s patrolling the streets or attacking Rebel positions without infantry support. Which makes for easy pickings as far as the Rebels are concerned.
    The managements of the Syrian Army is not helping it’s situation: It focuses on the siege of cities, and fighting pitched battles; employing the Russian tactic used in Chechnya and which raised Grozny to the ground.
    Rather the Army should focus on a mobile and fluid style of warfare, with better coordinated combined arms. The best chance the Army has is of beating the Rebels decisively in the field of battle, a war of attrition is not what an Army based around armored and conventional warfare should be doing. Though under the circumstances the Syrian Army is limited in what it can do.
    The Syrian Army has the will and capabilities to pull through this war, if it pushes it’s offensive capabilities more and stops it’s overly defensive posture.

    Just my opinion anyway 😛

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  • Anonymous

    20th July 2013 at 11:10 pm

    If nato intervenes in syria, they will defeat the syrian army . Nato will not intervene because,1) whos authority gives them the right to intervene militarily 2) russia supplies syria with very modern SAM and some are very powerful which syria doesnt say publicly, but keeps them behind the shed to suprise nato of its real capabilities. 3) the syrian army is well organised and it took nato is overthrow qadiffi in 7 months, so how long will it take to overthrow al assad, probabily over a year, so nato must have ground forces to disable the SAMs, therefore nato troops will die. 4) there are extremists and the taliban, al qadia, mercenaries and killers colaborating with the rebels, so if nato intervenes they will supporting their enermies and if the syrian state would collapse these killers would move to nieghbouring countries with their sophisticated arms with will target isreal, americas biggests interest in the region and it will ham all the other european interests. Finally not fprgetting hezbollah which is very experienced and the PLO which will be fighting alongside syrian troops.Therefore no invasion will occur.

    Reply

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